Is the Bull Market Over?

GM Explorer! A lot has changed since our last newsletter update. Over the past few weeks, we’ve leaned toward a bullish outlook—mainly due to Bitcoin’s seasonality.

But now, we’re seeing a strong deviation from historical patterns.

Bitcoin’s Historical Trends vs. Reality

Up until now, Bitcoin has largely mirrored the 2015-2017 market cycle. If that pattern had continued, we should have been gearing up for a massive rally this month (February).

But instead, the market has taken a different turn.

Also, historically, February—especially in post-halving years—has been a strong month for Bitcoin, typically delivering double-digit gains.

This time, however, Bitcoin is down 12.98%, with only a few days left in the month.

If this continues, it will be the first time in Bitcoin’s history that it has failed to produce positive February returns in a post-halving year.

Are We in the Worst Bull Market Ever?

Some analysts are calling for a bear market, while others argue this is simply the weakest bull market we’ve ever seen. Looking at the charts, it’s easy to see why they think so.

While Bitcoin itself has only pulled back 21%, many altcoins are down 80-90%, erasing gains at an alarming rate.

What we’re seeing now is pure uncertainty.

In our last update, we pointed out that while Bitcoin had been holding support at the yellow diagonal trendline, it was repeatedly testing that level—raising the risk of a significant drop before any major rally.

That’s exactly what happened.

Bitcoin dropped deep into the $86k range.

Currently, $30 billion in Bitcoin shorts are open, meaning if Bitcoin bounces, market makers could trigger a massive short squeeze. And let’s be honest—they love to go for it.

So, in the short term, a relief rally is very likely. But for Bitcoin to reclaim its bullish structure, we need to see:

• A break above the yellow diagonal line (around $91,330)

• A push past $92,375 (lower white line)

If Bitcoin gets rejected at these levels, the bears remain in control.

What Should You Do Now?

If Bitcoin struggles to reclaim key levels, it might be wise to take some profits and move funds into stablecoins—just in case the market sees further downside.

As for altcoins, I warned about this in our last update. This cycle has been brutal for altcoins, and the days of buying any random project and expecting massive returns may be over.

Now, research is everything. You need to focus on projects with strong fundamentals and real potential.

We can help you identify the best opportunities inside our private community—join us here:

That’s it for today. Catch you on the next update! 👊

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DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell assets or make financial decisions.